Phil 3.18.20

7:00 – 5:00 ASRC GOES

Today’s dashboard snapshot (more data here). My thoughts today are about supression and containment, which are laid out in the UK’s Imperial College COVID-19 report. The TL;DR is that suppression is the only strategy that doesn’t overwhelm healthcare. Suppression is fever clinics, contact tracing, and enforced isolation, away from all others (in China, this was special isolation clinics/dorms). This has clearly worked in China (and a town in Italy), though Hong Kong and Singapore seem to be succeeding in different (more cultural?) ways. The thing that strikes me is that suppression is just putting a lid on things. The moment the lid comes off, then infections start up again? I guess we’ll see over the next few months in China.

There appear to be vaccines in (human already!) testing. Normally, there is an extensive evaluation process to see if the treatment is dangerous, but that was sidestepped during the AIDS crisis (the parallel track policy). I wonder if at risk populations (People older than 70?), will allowed to use less-tested drugs. My guess is yes, probably within a month.

  • Finished all the dissertation revisions and made a document that contains only those revisions. Need to make a change tableand then send (full and revisions only) to Wayne today.
    • Whoops! No I didn’t. After putting together the change table, I realize there are still a few things to do. Dammit!
  • Update SDaaS paper as per John’s edits
  • Phone call with Darren at 2:00
    • Start a google doc that has all the parts of a proposal, plus a good introduction.
    • Also the idea of sims came up again as ways to define, explain, train ML, and test a problem/solutions
  • AIMS meeting at 3:00