Category Archives: thesis

Phil 1.17.20

An ant colony has memories that its individual members don’t have

  • Like a brain, an ant colony operates without central control. Each is a set of interacting individuals, either neurons or ants, using simple chemical interactions that in the aggregate generate their behaviour. People use their brains to remember. Can ant colonies do that? 

7:00 – ASRC

  •  Dissertation
    • More edits
    • Changed all the overviews so that they also reference the section by name. It reads better now, I think
    • Meeting with Thom
  • GPT-2 Agents
  • GSAW Slide deck

Phil 1.16.20

Optuna: An open source hyperparameter optimization framework to automate hyperparameter search

  • Medium writeup. It looks like this is Bayesian, and is better than hyperopt?

7:00 – 5:00 ASRC GOES

  • Dissertation
    • Starting to add Wayne’s comments
    • Finished the intro, starting motivation
  • NSOF Meeting with Isaac & Bruce
    • Still looking at the optimal scenario to use the current simulators (running over a weekend) to generate data
    • Data sets are used to train and evaluate, then progressively simplified until they can no longer recognize the source data. This will let us estimate the fidelity of the simulations we need.
  • JuryRoom meeting. Looking into adding UX faculty. Meeting is expanding to 6:00 – 8:00

Phil 1.15.20

I got invited to the TF Dev conference!

The HKS Misinformation Review is a new format of peer-reviewed, scholarly publication. Content is produced and “fast-reviewed” by misinformation scientists and scholars, released under open access, and geared towards emphasizing real-world implications. All content is targeted towards a specialized audience of researchers, journalists, fact-checkers, educators, policy makers, and other practitioners working in the information, media, and platform landscape.

  • For the essays, a length of 1,500 to 3,000 words (excluding footnotes and methodology appendix) is appropriate, but the HKS Misinformation Review will consider and publish longer articles. Authors of articles with more than 3,000 words should consult the journal’s editors before submission.

7:00 – ASRC GOES

  •  Dissertation
    • It looks like I fixed my LaTeX problems. I went to C:\Users\phil\AppData\Roaming\MiKTeX\2.9\tex\latex, and deleted the ifvtex folder. Re-ran, things installed, and all is better now
    • Slides
  • GOES
    • Pinged Isaac about the idea of creating scenarios that incorporate the NASA simulators
    • Meeting
  • GSAW
    • Slides
    • Speakers presenting in a plenary session are scheduled to speak for 15 minutes, with five additional minutes allowed for questions and answers from the audience
    • Our microphones work best when the antenna unit is clipped to a belt and the microphone is attached near the center of your chest.
    • We are NOT providing network capabilities such as WiFi. If you require WiFi, you are responsible for purchasing it from the hotel and ensuring that it works for the presentation.
    • Charts produced by the PC version of Microsoft PowerPoint 2013, 2016 or 365 are preferred
    • . In creating your slides, note that the presentation room is large and you should consider this in your selection of larger fonts, diagram size, etc. At a minimum, a 20-point font is recommended
  • GPT-2 – Maybe do something with Aaron today?

Phil 1.14.20

7:00 – 5:00 ASRC GOES/PhD

  • Finishing touches on the dissertation. Need to lint the bibtex – done
    • The work machine is not behaving. Had to move to Overleaf
  • Call commonvision to schedule printing and binding – done
  • Order some thumb drives – done
  • Meeting with Don. Discovered that he’s a digital format guy. Discovered that the Lit Review was missing from the exec summary
  • Corresponding with Thom. Hardcopy. Meeting still on Friday?

Phil 1.13.21

7:00 – 6:30 ASRC GOES

  • Dissertation
  • GOES
    • New board is not showing up. Yay, it shows up if I remove the old board and put it in the old position
    • Ordered a 1,000 watt power supply

 

Phil 1.10.20

7:00 – 4:30 ASRC PhD, BD, GOES

  • Dissertation
    • Stampedes are a form of runaway attention, and precision/recall aid that process
    • Starting on forward. Using the Arab Spring and GamerGate as the framing
  • 11:00 VOLPE Meeting
    • Pursuing the resilience proposal was well received. Next, go up and meet with the folks?
  • Install card – done! Passed the smoke test

Phil 1.9.20

7:00 – 5:00 ASRC PhD, GOES

metaphorNLP highlights podcast

Dissertation

  • Fix H3a-c – look at the heatmaps to see if there is some way of showing cell visitation as trustworthy, low border cells as safe, and stampede conditions as untrustworthy. Otherwise, use DTW
  • Helpful information on Excel Histograms

Nomad, flocking, and stampeding heatmaps

  • A border/core ratio explains this nicely. when border dwell time (BDT) > 1,  dangerous stampede. When BDT = 1, then nomads, When BDT < 1, flocking.
  • Updated the simulation results section. Now I need to update the conclusion hypothesis. – done!

Got my graphics card!

Phil 1.7.20

ASRC PhD 7:00 – 7:00

WP

  • Dissertation
    • Started the exec summary. I think the formatting is fine and it doesn’t show up in the TOC
    • Started the discussion overview
    • Fixed a bunch of orphan numbers, figure references and other formatting

Phil 1.6.20

7:00 – 8:00 ASRC PhD

  • Dr. Yueh is Fellow in Economics at St Edmund HallOxford University and Adjunct Professor of Economics at London Business School.
  • Dissertation
    • Adding more chapter summaries
      • Maps – done
      • Human Study – done
      • Discussion
      • Conclusions
  • Long chat with Aaron M
    • The front matter is your cover letter
    • Search and replace et. al. -> at al., “. -> .”, and check all footnotes
    • Exec summary can be done as a renumber after main doc

Phil 1.5.20

 

MAGA

  • Roger pointed me at ‘Most advanced, yet acceptable’: Typicality and novelty as joint predictors of aesthetic preference in industrial design
    • Typicality and novelty have often been shown to be related to aesthetic preference of human artefacts. Since a typical product is rarely new and, conversely, a novel product will not often be designated as typical, the positive effects of both features seem incompatible. In three studies it was shown that typicality (operationalized as ‘goodness of example’) and novelty are jointly and equally effective in explaining the aesthetic preference of consumer products, but that they suppress each other’s effect. Direct correlations between both variables and aesthetic preference were not significant, but each relationship became highly significant when the influence of the other variable was partialed out. In Study 2, it was furthermore demonstrated that the expertise level of observers did not affect the relative contribution of novelty and typicality. It was finally shown (Study 3) that a more ‘objective’ measure of typicality, central tendency — operationalized as an exemplar’s average similarity to all other members of the category — yielded the same effect of typicality on aesthetic preference. In sum, all three studies showed that people prefer novel designs as long as the novelty does not affect typicality, or, phrased differently, they prefer typicality given that this is not to the detriment of novelty. Preferred are products with an optimal combination of both aspects.
  • Trust is earned in the smallest of moments. It is earned not through heroic deeds, or even highly visible actions, but through paying attention, listening, and gestures of genuine care and connection. Brené Brown
  • If we share group membership with other across a range of social settings it becomes more likely that the actors will face future exchanges with reversed roles (Resnick, 2002). Repeated interactions with stable identities also allow the trustor to accumulate knowledge about the trustee and to make better predictions about his behavior. Thus, by extrapolating from past behavior trust in future encounters can grow. The mechanics of trust: A framework for research and design
  • Dissertation
    • Adding more chapter summaries
      • Simulation – done
      • Adversarial Herding – done
      • Maps
      • Human Study
      • Discussion
      • Conclusions
  • Read “I Just Google It”: Folk Theories of Distributed Discovery

Phil 1.3.20

7:00 – 5:00 ASRC PhD

  • Diversity promotes collective intelligence in large groups but harms small ones
    • Diverse groups are often said to be less susceptible to decision errors resulting from herding and polarization. Thus, the fact that many modern interactions happen in a digital world, where filter bubbles and homophily bring people together, is an alarming yet poorly understood phenomenon. But online interactions are also characterized by unprecedented scale, where thousands of individuals can exchange ideas simultaneously. Evidence in collective intelligence however suggests that small (rather than large) groups tend to do better in complex information environments. Here, we adopt the well-established framework of social learning theory (from the fields of ecology and cultural evolution) to explore the causal link between diversity and performance as a function of group size. In this pre-registered study, we experimentally manipulate both group diversity and group size, and measure individual and group performance in realistic geo-political judgements. We find that diversity hinders the performance of individuals in small groups, but improves it in large groups. Furthermore, aggregating opinions of modular crowds composed of small independent but homogeneous groups achieves better results than using non-modular diverse ones. The results are explained by greater conflict of opinion in diverse groups, which negatively impacts small (but not large) groups. The present work sheds light on the causal mechanisms underlying the success (or lack thereof) of diverse groups in digital environments, and suggests that diversity research can benefit from adopting a wider social learning perspective.
  • “I Just Google It”: Folk Theories of Distributed Discovery
    • A significant minority of people do not follow news regularly, and a growing number rely on distributed discovery (especially social media and search engines) to stay informed. Here, we analyze folk theories of news consumption. On the basis of an inductive analysis of 43 in-depth interviews with infrequent users of conventional news, we identify three complementary folk theories (“news finds me,” “the information is out there,” and “I don’t know what to believe”) that consumers draw on when making sense of their information environment. We show that the notion of folk theories help unpack the different, complementary, sometimes contradictory cultural resources people rely on as they navigate digital media and public affairs, and we argue that studying those who rarely engage directly with news media but do access information via social media and search provides a critical case study of the dynamics of an environment increasingly defined by platforms.
  • Dissertation
    • Working on Lit Review overview
    • Fixed the margins for blockquotes by creating a more flexible changemargin command
      \def\changemargin#1#2{\list{}{\rightmargin#2\leftmargin#1}\item[]}
      \let\endchangemargin=\endlist
    • Which is used like this
      \begin{changemargin}{1.5cm}{1.5cm} 
      	They were one man, not thirty. For as the one ship that held them all; though it was put together of all contrasting things-oak, and maple, and pine wood; iron, and pitch, and hemp-yet all these ran into each other in the one concrete hull, which shot on its way, both balanced and directed by the long central keel; even so, all the individualities of the crew, this man’s valor, that man’s fear; guilt and guiltiness, all varieties were welded into oneness, and were all directed to that fatal goal which Ahab their one lord and keel did point to.
      \end{changemargin}
    • Fixed a bunch of things, including blockquotes
    • Added ch_lit_review_overview.tex
      • Biological Basis – done
      • Human Belief Spaces – done
      • Dimension Reduction – done
      • Orientation – done
      • Velocity – done
      • Social Influence Horizon – done
      • Bones in a hut – started
  • 1:00 Dentist

Phil 1.2.20

7:00 – 4:30 ASRC PhD

  • More highlighting and slides. Once I get through the Background section, I’ll write the overview, then repeat that patterns.
    • I’m tweaking too much text to keep the markup version. Sigh.
    • Finished Background and sent that to Wayne
  • GPT-2 Agents. See if we can get multiple texts generated – nope
    • Build a corpus of .txt files
    • Try running them through LMN
  • No NOAA meeting
  • No ORCA meeting

Phil 1.1.20

7:00 – 11:30, 3:00 – 5:00 PhD

  • More slides. I think I’m going to try saving a snapshot of the PDF that I can highlight and annotate.
    • That works, though every time I want to make an edit, I go back to the source material and forget to use the other pdf.
    • Also, saving out the PDF using Acrobat really shrinks the file size, 50MB down to 2.7MB
    • Finished Motivation and Introduction. Working on Background
  • Nice bike ride to start the year off

Phil 1.30.19

7:00 – 7:00 ASRC PhD

ClimateTree

  • Nice visualization, with map-like aspects: The Climate Learning Tree
  •  Dissertation
    • Start JuryRoom section – done!
    • Finished all content!
  • GPT-2 Agents
    • Download big model and try to run it
    • Move models and code out of the transformers project
  • GOES
    • Learning by Cheating (sounds like a mechanism for simulation to work with)
      • Vision-based urban driving is hard. The autonomous system needs to learn to perceive the world and act in it. We show that this challenging learning problem can be simplified by decomposing it into two stages. We first train an agent that has access to privileged information. This privileged agent cheats by observing the ground-truth layout of the environment and the positions of all traffic participants. In the second stage, the privileged agent acts as a teacher that trains a purely vision-based sensorimotor agent. The resulting sensorimotor agent does not have access to any privileged information and does not cheat. This two-stage training procedure is counter-intuitive at first, but has a number of important advantages that we analyze and empirically demonstrate. We use the presented approach to train a vision-based autonomous driving system that substantially outperforms the state of the art on the CARLA benchmark and the recent NoCrash benchmark. Our approach achieves, for the first time, 100% success rate on all tasks in the original CARLA benchmark, sets a new record on the NoCrash benchmark, and reduces the frequency of infractions by an order of magnitude compared to the prior state of the art. For the video that summarizes this work, see this https URL
  • Meeting with Aaron
    • Overview at the beginning of each chapter – look at Aaron’s chapter 5 for
    • example intro and summary.
    • Callouts in text should match the label
    • hfill to right-justify
    • Footnote goes after puntuation
    • Punctuation goes inside quotes
    • for url monospace use \texttt{} (perma.cc)
    • indent blockquotes 1/2 more tab
    • Non breaking spaces on names
    • Increase figure sizes in intro