Phil 12.12.2024

Atlantic circulation collapse? New clues on the fate of a crucial conveyor belt

  • So in summary, we have at least some reassurance from the North Atlantic data that a full-on AMOC collapse hasn’t begun. And it’s unlikely that any future collapse would reach its end point any sooner than the early to mid-2100s. Yet there’s also legitimate concern – stoked by recent work from climate modelers and statisticians – that a tipping point toward eventual collapse could arrive as soon as the next several decades, especially if fossil-fuel emissions aren’t cut sharply. In part two of this two-part post, we’ll look at some of the new research on early-warning signs of AMOC collapse, what those scientists and other assessments are telling us about the threat, and how we can help limit the odds of an AMOC collapse happening in the first place.

SBIRs

  • 9:00 standup
  • 11:00 drop off car / pick up car – done
  • 2:30 “AI” Meeting – could not work it in
  • 4:30 Book club – Rukan couldn’t make it
  • Good progress today, but still not quite right

GPT Agents

  • LLM meeting – worked on the diagram for the egalitarian AI paper