For the Profs&Pints, I think I’m going to bookend the talk wiith a reading of Organizational Lobotomy at the beginning and War Room at the end. Need to figure out what the slides should be.

No, AI is not Making Engineers 10x as Productive

• I think a lot of the more genuine 10x AI hype is coming from people who are simply in the honeymoon phase or haven’t sat down to actually consider what 10x improvement means mathematically. I wouldn’t be surprised to learn AI helps many engineers do certain tasks 20-50% faster, but the nature of software bottlenecks mean this doesn’t translate to a 20% productivity increase and certainly not a 10x increase.

The Ordinal Society

• As members of this society embrace ranking and measurement in their daily lives, new forms of social competition and moral judgment arise. Familiar structures of social advantage are recycled into measures of merit that produce insidious kinds of social inequality. While we obsess over order and difference—and the logic of ordinality digs deeper into our behaviors, bodies, and minds—what will hold us together? Fourcade and Healy warn that, even though algorithms and systems of rationalized calculation have inspired backlash, they are also appealing in ways that make them hard to relinquish.

Chatbots Can Go Into a Delusional Spiral. Here’s How It Happens.

• “The story line is building all the time,” Ms. Toner said. “At that point in the story, the whole vibe is: This is a groundbreaking, earth-shattering, transcendental new kind of math. And it would be pretty lame if the answer was, ‘You need to take a break and get some sleep and talk to a friend.’”

Tasks

• Send the updates back to Vanessa – done
• Send email about LLC to PPL
• Look for trade nonfiction agents – started
• Dishes – done
• Bills – done
• Chores – done
• Ride to Brookville for 1:00 lunch – leave at 11:00! – done! Fun!
• Read paper 599 – started

Watched Godzilla Minus One last night. Lots going on in that film, as opposed to nearly every other monster movie.

Temperature Scaling and Beam Search Text Generation in LLMs, for the ML-Adjacent | Towards Data Science

• What “temperature” is, how it works, its relationship to the beam search heuristic, and where LLM output generation can still fail

[2508.01552] Social Media Information Operations

• The battlefield of information warfare has moved to online social networks, where influence campaigns operate at unprecedented speed and scale. As with any strategic domain, success requires understanding the terrain, modeling adversaries, and executing interventions. This tutorial introduces a formal optimization framework for social media information operations (IO), where the objective is to shape opinions through targeted actions. This framework is parameterized by quantities such as network structure, user opinions, and activity levels – all of which must be estimated or inferred from data. We discuss analytic tools that support this process, including centrality measures for identifying influential users, clustering algorithms for detecting community structure, and sentiment analysis for gauging public opinion. These tools either feed directly into the optimization pipeline or help defense analysts interpret the information environment. With the landscape mapped, we highlight threats such as coordinated bot networks, extremist recruitment, and viral misinformation. Countermeasures range from content-level interventions to mathematically optimized influence strategies. Finally, the emergence of generative AI transforms both offense and defense, democratizing persuasive capabilities while enabling scalable defenses. This shift calls for algorithmic innovation, policy reform, and ethical vigilance to protect the integrity of our digital public sphere.

Tasks

• Send the updates back to Vanessa
• Send email about LLC to PPL
• Look for trade nonfiction agents –

SBIRS

• 9:00 Sprint demos – do slides
• 3:00 Sprint planning
• 4:00 SEG Meeting (cancelled)

Codeberg is a non-profit, community-led effort that provides Git hosting and other services for free and open source projects.

So I’m a reviewer for an AI conference with seven papers to review. I came across one paper early on that had some pretty egregious sounding LLM text in the intro. You know the kind, where the sparkling adjectives augment the points in the text, sometimes hiding them behind flowery text – and the use of dashes – in ways that don’t add value to someone delving into the document,

ChatPDF provides an AI detector that is probably based on perplexity along the lines of GPTzero, and it flagged it – 100% AI generated. But since then, I’ve been trying out on the sections of text that are well written, but do not have that AI “smell.” Turns out that almost every paper is using LLMs for writing, at least according to the detector.

Can We Fix Social Media? Testing Prosocial Interventions using Generative Social Simulation

• Social media platforms have been widely linked to societal harms, including rising polarization and the erosion of constructive debate. Can these problems be mitigated through prosocial interventions? We address this question using a novel method – generative social simulation – that embeds Large Language Models within Agent-Based Models to create socially rich synthetic platforms. We create a minimal platform where agents can post, repost, and follow others. We find that the resulting following-networks reproduce three well-documented dysfunctions: (1) partisan echo chambers; (2) concentrated influence among a small elite; and (3) the amplification of polarized voices – creating a ‘social media prism’ that distorts political discourse. We test six proposed interventions, from chronological feeds to bridging algorithms, finding only modest improvements – and in some cases, worsened outcomes. These results suggest that core dysfunctions may be rooted in the feedback between reactive engagement and network growth, raising the possibility that meaningful reform will require rethinking the foundational dynamics of platform architecture.

Tasks

• Let’s see if we can get papers 390 and 416 done today. Finished 390. Read 416, which is cool
• DM Karl – done
• Ping Brett Goldstein and/or Brett V. Benson, maybe a workshop on this? Done
• Send the updates back to Vanessa
• Send email about LLC to PPL

Did not sleep well. Someone was racing their VERY LOUD motorcycle up and down the street, and then the smoke alarms decided they needed new batteries.

The Era of A.I. Propaganda Has Arrived, and America Must Act

• With the exponential rise of generative A.I. systems, the greatest danger is no longer a flood of invective and falsehoods on social media. Rather, it is the slow, subtle and corrosive manipulation of online communication — propaganda designed not to shock, but to slip silently into our everyday digital discussions. We have entered a new era in international influence operations, where A.I.-generated narratives shift the political landscape without drawing attention.
• Reach out to Brett Goldstein and/or Brett V. Benson

The entities enabling scientific fraud at scale are large, resilient, and growing rapidly | PNAS

• Science is characterized by collaboration and cooperation, but also by uncertainty, competition, and inequality. While there has always been some concern that these pressures may compel some to defect from the scientific research ethos—i.e., fail to make genuine contributions to the production of knowledge or to the training of an expert workforce—the focus has largely been on the actions of lone individuals. Recently, however, reports of coordinated scientific fraud activities have increased. Some suggest that the ease of communication provided by the internet and open-access publishing have created the conditions for the emergence of entities—paper mills (i.e., sellers of mass-produced low quality and fabricated research), brokers (i.e., conduits between producers and publishers of fraudulent research), predatory journals, who do not conduct any quality controls on submissions—that facilitate systematic scientific fraud. Here, we demonstrate through case studies that i) individuals have cooperated to publish papers that were eventually retracted in a number of journals, ii) brokers have enabled publication in targeted journals at scale, and iii), within a field of science, not all subfields are equally targeted for scientific fraud. Our results reveal some of the strategies that enable the entities promoting scientific fraud to evade interventions. Our final analysis suggests that this ability to evade interventions is enabling the number of fraudulent publications to grow at a rate far outpacing that of legitimate science.

Tasks

• ATHENE – done
• Read next paper (280) – done. Nice paper
• Review next paper – done. Easy review
• Roll in Vanessa’s edits – done with story. Done with analysis
• Look around for acquisition editors

Tasks

• Write note on KA and send – done
• Read next paper – done
• Write review? – done
• CACM editorial – done

Tasks

• Submit review for paper 153 – done
• Register for ATHENE – Oh, it’s a job posting!
• Ulis tasks – done
• Write a short email pitch for KA
• Clean – done
• Dishes – done
• Bills – done
• Start taking pictures of things to sell – pix of trailer
• Mow – done
• 2:20 Dentist -done

Big day on Saturday. Really happy with the weighted power:

I want to write about this and pancake printers as minimum effort products backed by high tech that produce acceptable, low cost products for people who don’t really matter: The rise of AI tools that write about you when you die

Put in Skyland ride for Saturday – done

Ping Aaron B for Friday?

Something that might be cool for white hat AI

• Zentropi instantly helps you build intelligent text labelers that are accurate, flexible, and fast. No subscription required.

SBIRS

• 9:00 standup – done
• 4:00 SEG meeting – done. Ron needs to look at FFTs, I need to write a python socket. No meeting next week.

GPT Agents

• Worked on the CACM abstract yesterday and made good progress. Send pdfs of the V5 chapter to Shimei and Jimmy – done

Got the FCUL VPN working and webmail!

Early ride today. It’s going to get hot fast

SBIRs

• Setup a Vrlgrl the grlble project in Overleaf – already there!
• Tweak the slides – done

GPT Agents

• 2:30 meeting – went well. Need to finish the abstract by Monday and send it in
• Send new chapters to Vanessa and update spreadsheet – done

P33

• email Dr. Satya – done

OpenAI’s ChatGPT Agent casually clicks through “I am not a robot” verification test – Ars Technica

• The evidence came from Reddit, where a user named “logkn” of the r/OpenAI community posted screenshots of the AI agent effortlessly clicking through the screening step before it would otherwise present a CAPTCHA (short for “Completely Automated Public Turing tests to tell Computers and Humans Apart”) while completing a video conversion task—narrating its own process as it went.

SBIRs

• Day trip to NJ done!

Tasks

• Finished rolling in corrections to vignette 2 analysis

One of the things that could be interesting for WH/AI to do is to recognize questions and responses to llms and point out what could be hallucinations and maybe(?) point to sources so that the user can look them up?

Pinged pbump about his aquisition editor. Never hurts to try

LLM Visualization

• A visualization and walkthrough of the LLM algorithm that backs OpenAI’s ChatGPT. Explore the algorithm down to every add & multiply, seeing the whole process in action.

Exploring Activation Patterns of Parameters in Language Models

• Most work treats large language models as black boxes without an in-depth understanding of their internal working mechanism. To explain the internal representations of LLMs, we utilize a gradient-based metric to assess the activation level of model parameters. Based on this metric, we obtain three preliminary findings. (1) When the inputs are in the same domain, parameters in the shallow layers will be activated densely, which means a larger portion of parameters will have great impacts on the outputs. In contrast, parameters in the deep layers are activated sparsely. (2) When the inputs are across different domains, parameters in shallow layers exhibit higher similarity in the activation behavior than in deep layers. (3) In deep layers, the similarity of the distributions of activated parameters is positively correlated to the empirical data relevance. Further, we develop three validation experiments to solidify these findings. (1) Firstly, starting from the first finding, we attempt to configure different sparsities for different layers and find this method can benefit model pruning. (2) Secondly, we find that a pruned model based on one calibration set can better handle tasks related to the calibration task than those not related, which validates the second finding. (3) Thirdly, Based on the STS-B and SICK benchmarks, we find that two sentences with consistent semantics tend to share similar parameter activation patterns in deep layers, which aligns with our third finding. Our work sheds light on the behavior of parameter activation in LLMs, and we hope these findings will have the potential to inspire more practical applications.

llamafile lets you distribute and run LLMs with a single file. (announcement blog post)

• Our goal is to make open LLMs much more accessible to both developers and end users. We’re doing that by combining llama.cpp with Cosmopolitan Libc into one framework that collapses all the complexity of LLMs down to a single-file executable (called a “llamafile”) that runs locally on most computers, with no installation.

Tasks

• Try Outlook fix – No joy, but made a bunch of screenshots and sent them off.
• Fill out LASIGE profile info – done
• Write up review for first paper – done
• First pass of Abstract for ACM opinion – done
• Delete big model from svn
• Reschedule dentist – done

SBIRS

• Write up notes from last Friday – done
• Send SOW to Dr. J and tell him that we are going to ask for a NCE – done

This looks like a very nice tool!

OSoMeNet uses search APIs provided by social media platforms (e.g. Bluesky and Mastodon) to generate diffusion and co-occurrence networks. The networks are visualized using Helios Web. Helios Web is a web-based library developed by Filipi Nascimento Silva.

[2503.10622] Transformers without Normalization

Tasks

• Rolled in Vanessa’s edits for the story
• Starting ICTAI reviews

I made the front page of Communications of the ACM!

Organizational Lobotomy

Tasks

• Connected to ulisboa on the iOS app, still can’t connect on the MS Outlook client. Sent an update
• Bills – done
• Lawn – done
• Weed – done
• Clean – done
• Dishes – done
• Ride with Aaron B and maybe get rid of some metal! – done
• Drat – Elsevier passed on KA. Asked Katy if she knows any editors I can reach out too. Nope

SBIRs

4:00 status meeting with Dr. J – done

Tasks

• Groceries – done
• Emissions – done
• Goodwill – done
• Mess with Outlook? Procrastinating

[2507.17636] Who Attacks, and Why? Using LLMs to Identify Negative Campaigning in 18M Tweets across 19 Countries

• Negative campaigning is a central feature of political competition, yet empirical research has been limited by the high cost and limited scalability of existing classification methods. This study makes two key contributions. First, it introduces zero-shot Large Language Models (LLMs) as a novel approach for cross-lingual classification of negative campaigning. Using benchmark datasets in ten languages, we demonstrate that LLMs achieve performance on par with native-speaking human coders and outperform conventional supervised machine learning approaches. Second, we leverage this novel method to conduct the largest cross-national study of negative campaigning to date, analyzing 18 million tweets posted by parliamentarians in 19 European countries between 2017 and 2022. The results reveal consistent cross-national patterns: governing parties are less likely to use negative messaging, while ideologically extreme and populist parties — particularly those on the radical right — engage in significantly higher levels of negativity. These findings advance our understanding of how party-level characteristics shape strategic communication in multiparty systems. More broadly, the study demonstrates the potential of LLMs to enable scalable, transparent, and replicable research in political communication across linguistic and cultural contexts.

[2507.13919] The Levers of Political Persuasion with Conversational AI

• There are widespread fears that conversational AI could soon exert unprecedented influence over human beliefs. Here, in three large-scale experiments (N=76,977), we deployed 19 LLMs-including some post-trained explicitly for persuasion-to evaluate their persuasiveness on 707 political issues. We then checked the factual accuracy of 466,769 resulting LLM claims. Contrary to popular concerns, we show that the persuasive power of current and near-future AI is likely to stem more from post-training and prompting methods-which boosted persuasiveness by as much as 51% and 27% respectively-than from personalization or increasing model scale. We further show that these methods increased persuasion by exploiting LLMs’ unique ability to rapidly access and strategically deploy information and that, strikingly, where they increased AI persuasiveness they also systematically decreased factual accuracy.

SBIRs

• 9:00 standup – done
• 9:30 more pair programming with Ron – good progress
• 4:00 SEG meeting – some data got generated, I’ll take a look on Tuesday.

GPT Agents

• Read Subliminal Learning paper – wow
• Update addendum 2 on Grok post
• Generate strawman CACM abstract. Not sure if this should be part of it?
  • Preventing Woke AI in the Federal Government – The White House

A story in two acts – June 20, 2025:

Act 2 – July 12, 2025

This is definitely adjusting the sources for the RAG engine. Need to update the addendum 2

I get my living room back today! All the big things are back where they belong. Need to do the small stuff and wiring.

SBIRs

• Pair programming with Ron. Need to fire up the instances.
  • Had to change the password
  • Good progress, more still to go
• Send a note to Clay that basically says ASAP. Also is it in person or virtual? Probably virtual

GPT Agents

• Update Addendum 2 based on the posts above.
  • Read Emergent Misalignment, which was quite something
• Use that to create the new abstract for CACM and send off to Shimei and Jimmy – nope
• Look at P33? Nope, but I did reach out to Philip Bump, who responded. Need to set up a meeting.
• Good meeting with Alden